This argument - and many of those that put forth libertarian freedom as the reason we are ultimately translated into heaven (“the pennies which are glued to the bottom of the box”) - I find flawed for a number of reasons. First, it assumes a LFW choice for God is something of which we can make a 50-50 probability about. I don’t think it’s possible to do that. Each free choice, it seems to me, if it is truly free, would have to have its own unknown probability, independent of all preceding and proceeding events. So you could not compound the probability of an event occurring simply because “it had not yet occurred.” Second, even if we could be near absolutely certain that, given enough time, all pennies will stick to the bottom of the box, it is still likely that out of 1000000000 pennies that ONE will not stick. Third - and I think this is most damaging - it seems the only guarantee for the conditions of which Reitan says the free willed choice is based on – actually “seeing” and “knowing” that choosing God is what he wants us to do, in our best interest, and in line with our desires – involves removing the epistemic distance required for that free choice to be made in the first place. In other words, it is to make us compatibilistically free.
I actually believe that this is what God in fact does. There is no need then to postulate “hypothetical box experiments” to show that God has to shake the box until the PENNY flips. I think God can and does IMPOSE HIMSELF on us in an irresistible way, both in this life and, eventually, forever in the life to come. Personal experience, Scripture, and the nature of God’s love and power - him desiring to fully disclose himself to us - all attest to this ability of God.
The real question is, why would God give us LFW in the first place if he could have made us compatibilistically free from the get go. I’ve tried to go into this on my recent post in the general discussion. In short, I think it has to do with the fact that, unless we were to experience some autonomy and causation ourselves, we could not be able to make the thought “God is the source of all my good” cohere in our minds. The concepts “I” and “source” would be meaningless to us.