As to the ‘goldilocks’ zone - here’s an email from a friend of mine:
(the reason this is important is that, in addition to all the huge questions about the evolutionary model, there is the ID model, one mode of which, as Berserk points out, is subject to attack. The goldilocks zone facts are, I think, unsurmountable in presenting one aspect of an ID theory that actually is true.
Dave,
Goldilocks -zones- are fairly simple I think, being the zone near a particular star where a planet could orbit and host liquid water. This depends on the brightness of the star of course, but immediately becomes subject to the factors of the particular planets atmosphere. It must be dense enough to prevent the water all boiling off to vapor, for example. Plus all the other “greenhouse” parameters.
The subject almost immediately becomes the question of what additional factors are necessary for a planet, in a reasonable goldilocks zone, to support life. These are calculable because Carbon is the only candidate capable of producing the complexity necessary for anything to be reasonably called “life,” such as the ability to operate physically & chemically through the 2ond law (eat, for example) and to reproduce, etc. Carbon has intrinsic limitations. It cannot be fashioned into life in a too hot environment, too “poisonous,” too cold, etc. So certain limitations can be determined.
This is where the known list gets much longer. I’ll try to list some from memory;
Necessary “type” of star. (Proper light & other radiation source)
Proper gases in the atmosphere, in proper proportions. (Including fluorine, which can only be manufactured in a binary white dwarf system. [!] )
Right amount of water
Atmospheric density. (Mars’s atmosphere is about half as dense at 15 feet altitude as at the surface)
Molten Iron core resulting in magnetic field preventing solar wind from stripping away atmosphere. See Mars,
Speed of rotation and angle of inclination to the plane of the ecliptic.
Outsized moon, closer than likely, to stabilize orbit, in its own precise orbit, otherwise the spinning planet’s inclination drifts.
One or more giant gas planets positioned so as to effective sweep space gravitationally preventing debris bombardment of the life supporting planet.
Stable orbits in entire system.
Plate tectonics (“recycling”) must operate.
Type of galaxy
Position from center of galaxy (Another list of goldilocks requirements); i.e., where drift is minimal. Position where protection from center of galaxy cosmic radiation is provided (gas clouds, debris, dark matter, etc.). Safely outside galaxy arm. (Also provides that we can see out to practice astronomy. This “window" will close in a few thousands of years)
The list is quite a bit longer than this, maybe approaching 200, and everything must occur simultaneously and persist for long periods of time. In the 80’s a Ph.d astronomer calculated, using the then known 43 parameters, that the likelihood of a life supporting planet occurring by chance in a universe this size was one chance in a trillion, trillion, trillion, trillion, trillion, trillion trillion, trillion, trillion, trillion, trillion, trillion. What would be the odds if 200 parameters were calculated? There is a book from the 70’s or 80’s called “Rare Earth” which lists some of these things, and one much more recent called ‘Improbable Earth.”
The “Drake Equation” is effectively zero.