Hi, Daniel!
Sorry for the delay in your post going up: new members have their first two or three posts automatically sent into a mod limbo until one of us can get around to checking to make sure they aren’t spambots (or the occasional live spammer). Unfortunately, only a couple of ad/mods are in the habit of doing this, and I’m one of them, and I was out over the weekend.
Anyway, once we’ve told the system a couple of times you’re a real human being an not a sockpuppet or robot, it should let you through henceforth without further trouble.
In regard to Pascal’s Wager and the danger of false hope: I understand what you’re saying but I wish people would call it something other than Pascal’s Wager. The Wager wasn’t addressed to a situation of prudent scepticism, where even a little doubt is supposed to be grounds for disbelieving a potentially dangerous position; it was addressed as a positive apologetic tool in favor of a proposition where the thinker judges the evidential case on either side as being equal.
In other words: if you’ve weighed all the evidence and you’re still agnostic either way, and one belief would help if true but wouldn’t hurt if false, then choose that belief.
I haven’t read this thread in a while, but I bet I said the same thing upthread. Pascal’s Wager would only apply if someone is (1) still, or now, agnostic on the topic about whether or not God saves all sinners from sin; and (2) judges one position to help if true but not hurt if false.
However, on the question of whether it is better to reject a belief if even a little doubt could possibly remain and also if accepting the belief has potentially catastrophic eternal consequences – how is that not an argument for total religious, philosophical, and ethical agnosticism, including against taking an agnostic position (thus self-refuting)??
Anyone after all could (and often do) say that that accepting X belief could have (or even certainly does have) potentially catastrophic eternal consequences.
And what are the eternal catastrophic consequences of being mistaken about God saving all sinners from sin? Presumably no more than the disappointment of finding out God has chosen not, or has finally failed to, save some loved one from sin: which is a risk of disappointment that someone either lives with or already, psychologically, accepts and deals with as a reality (she died without doing such and such which would signal to me she is of the elect, or which would signal to me she convinced God to save her). You acknowledge that where one stands on the issue does not determin whether anyone is a “true” Christian, so it isn’t as though gnosticism on this topic saves someone gnostically. (Much less that gnosticism, salvation by doctrinal assent, is true!)
My guess is that this is why the topic of prudent paranoia isn’t brought up much or taken very seriously by most people here (ImagoDei and some other members aside).
Beyond that, I make sure to bring it up when evangelizing (though not when simply doing apologetics unless the topic logically connects) for these reasons:
1.) Because I firmly believe that, aside from my own strength of conviction about its truth, if it’s true then it’s important as a proclamation of good news about God, over-against lesser claims about God. I have a positive ambassadorial responsibility to preach it as part of announcing God and what God has done for us.
2.) Because preaching it is the only way to include both sets of gospel assurances, split up otherwise between Arms and Calvs (and their catholic analogues). God certainly loves you with saving love – not maybe you, and not maybe with only incidental love; and you can trust God to save you from your sins – not maybe fail at it or give up eventually.
3.) Somewhat less importantly, but still important to those on the receiving end of evangelism, because one or another doctrine of final unrighteousness, whether a finally hopeless fate or a finally hopeless punishment, is a stumbling block to accepting Christ. Now, something can be true and still a stumbling block – I try to be lenient about people accepting trinitarian theism for example even though I think it’s both true and very important, because I know that’s a stumbling block to a lot of people. But if I think a stumbling block can be removed, then I have a positive responsibility to remove it for sake of evangelism. Much of an apologist’s work is precisely aimed at removing stumbling blocks in the way of evangelism! And I have discovered from long experience (including since before I decided some kind of Christian universal salvation must be true), that sometimes this acts as a strong stumbling block in the background even if the topic I’m addressing has nothing to do with it topically: the mere possibility that accepting an argument somewhere might lead by association to accepting final perdition, turns out to be an emotional stumbling block against accepting even arguments that have nothing specifically to do with that topic one way or another.