I’m thinking of making a wiki entry called Puddleglum’s Wager. Unlike Pascal’s wager, I think Puddleglum’s is watertight, but I am no philosopher. After some background re. Marshwiggles etc, I intend to say something like:
Puddleglum sets off in the dark, not seeking a Spaghetti Monster or a Tooth fairy, but the Good God.
If no God exists, Puddleglum will have lived a good life nonetheless, one illuminated by hope and guided by his noble quest.
If God is bad, Puddleglum is doomed whatever he does.
If God is good, Puddleglum will find his heart’s desire.
This wager minimizes risk and maximizes return.
If God is bad, Puddleglum cannot reduce risk whatever he does. If God punishes Puddleglum for daring to make such a wager, He is without pity and therefore not good. The risk associated with such a God is infinite and unavoidable.
If God is nonexistent, Puddleglum will have lived a good and hopeful life, one not clouded by despair and futility. Once he is dead, he will not be disappointed to discover he was deluded.
If God is good, not only has Puddleglum lived a good and hopeful life, he will enjoy God forever in the life to come.
Puddleglum therefore is wise, prudent, noble, defiant and courageous to spend his life seeking the good God, even if God doesn’t exist. He has much to gain in this life, everything to gain in the next, and less than nothing to lose. (What he loses in this life are all negative: meaninglessness, indirection, futility and despair.)